Avoyelles Tuesday COVID update: 86 new cases in 232 tests; one more death

Tuesday's COVID update for Avoyelles Parish was one of those with some "adjustments" from prior reports making it impossible to get a clear one-day picture of what the virus is doing at this time. The most disturbing figure was the addition of one more death to the parish's COVID death toll.

First, any readers who peruse the state table of parish results should immediately disregard the figure of 10,461 total cases for the parish. Adding the number of cases confirmed by lab tests and those identified by rapid result tests gives a more realistic number of 9,836. Hopefully the parish will not pass the 10,000 mark, but at least we haven't done so yet.

There was a net total of 232 tests in this report -- 301 rapid result tests and minus 69 lab tests. This kind of result occurs when someone taking a test in Avoyelles Parish is found to reside in another parish or a former Avoyelles Parish resident's new address in another parish is corrected.

With relatively few tests, the parish's daily increase fell to "only" 86. A strange thing about the way this pandemic has run is that 86 new cases prior to the "Omicron Wave" would have been extremely alarming and is now almost cause to hope the end of the surge is in sight. Nine of the new cases were identified by lab tests and 77 by rapid result tests.

The one-day positive rate for this report is 37 percent. In short, if there had been 1,000 tests and this positive rate remained the same, there would have been 370 new cases. It is very likely the positive rate would have been down around 15 percent with the higher number of tests. There were 9,104 new cases out of 39,000 tests statewide, for a one-day positive rate offer 23 percent. In general, the larger the number of tests, the smaller the positive rate of those tests.

Avoyelles' 22-month pandemic totals as of Tuesday are 148,066 tests, 9,836 infections and 185 fatalities. Statewide there had been 1,136,526 COVID cases with 15,476 deaths since the pandemic began in March 2020.

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